3

14:45 Ascot 07 Sep 2019

Cunard Handicap

Class 2 | 3YO plus

Winner £49,800 - 16 ran

7f

Good to Firm

Draw Advantage: None

Last year’s race

Ripp Orf
  • Winner: Ripp Orf
  • Jockey: Jason Watson
  • Trainer: D R C Elsworth
  • Owner: C Benham/ D Whitford/ L Quinn/ K Quinn
  • Age: 4 Weight: 8st 9lbs
  • Starting Price: 7/1
  • Season Form Figures: 221221291234
  • Previous Best: 3rd - International Stakes (Heritage Handicap), Ascot (July 2018)

This £80,000 guaranteed handicap over 7f was first run in 2011 so is effectively the autumn version of the Victoria Cup over the same course and distance, though worth approximately 20K less. Ripp Orff won both races last season (beat Cape Byron into second in this race who then won the Victoria Cup and Wokingham in 2019) and he is amongst the entries again having finished fifth in this season’s Victoria Cup back in May, one place behind Raising Sand who has since won the International Handicap, the summer version of this race over Course and Distance and the most valuable of the lot.

Clearly previous course and distance form is a bonus in these races and the stronger guide has been the International Handicap having featured five of the eight winners.

Clearly previous course and distance form is a bonus in these races and the stronger guide has been the International Handicap having featured five of the eight winners, though none of the quintet could finish in the first six here on King George day.

Another trend well worth considering is that four of the last five winners were ridden by an apprentice, two 3lb claimers and two 5lb claimers. Only one winner has carried over 9st, Remarkable in 2017 off second-top weight, in fact he was the sole winner in the last five years not to take have an apprentice taking weight off his back.

All 17 last-time-out winners have come up short, though seven of those placed, and most of them would have been to the fore in the market. No favourite has won as yet but the last five have all hit the frame. As for the winner’s position in the market, it hasn’t been a punters’ nightmare however as six of the eight winners could be found in the first six in the betting.

There has been one winning three-year-old from 28 to face the starter with three others placing and also just one of the eight winners was aged older than five, so the likelihood is that it will go the way of a four or five-year-old.

At a glance summary

Positives
Positives:
Contested the Moet & Chandon International Handicap (notably unplaced)
Ridden by an apprentice
Top six in the market
Negatives
Last-time-out winner
Carrying over 9st