Last year’s race
- Winner: Churchill
- Jockey: R L Moore
- Trainer: A P O'Brien
- Owner: Mr M Tabor, D Smith & Mrs John Magnier
- Age: 2 Weight: 9st 3lb
- Starting Price: 8/11f
- Season Form Figures: 3
- Previous Best: 3rd - Maidan race, Curragh (May 2016)
Last year’s winner, Churchill, goes down in history as the best Chesham victor thus far and he was backed off the boards into 8/11 despite finishing third on his only previous start. In victory he extended the superb record of the leading fancies as 24 of the last 28 winners could be found in the first four in the betting. Eleven of those winners started favourite (including joint-favourites) and all four odds-on shots within that time period were successful.
What is also very significant about recent Chesham Stakes winners is that they have been lightly-raced. Eleven of the last 19 winners had won their sole start whereas three of the last four winners, Berkshire, Richard Pankhurst and Churchill, were beaten on their on their only previous run and the 1996 winner, Shamikh, was having his racecourse debut.
24 of the last 28 winners could be found in the first four in the betting.
In addition to supplying four placed horses in the last five years and the second-place finishers in 2010, three fillies have won in the last 15 years (Seba, Whazzat and Maybe) so we have to take them seriously especially considering they are considerably outnumbered and also have the option of the Albany Stakes over a stiff 6f yet their connections still elect to run here.
Mark Johnston likes this race. No surprise there as it takes a tough two-year-old to win over as far as 7f in a quality race at this stage of the season and toughness is the hallmark of his training operation. Although out of luck with his runners in the last decade (though he was unrepresented on three of those occasions), his previous six runners heralded three winners and a third. Richard Hannon has had a two fourth-place finishers from three runners since he took over the licence but his father’s Bunker finished second as favourite in 2013 and the stable will be hoping to add to their back-to-back wins in 2008 and 2009. John Gosden has supplied three winners, a runner-up and a third.
Seven furlongs in mid-June is a test of stamina for two-year-olds so no surprise whatsoever that stamina-laden sires take over particularly when we consider that this race is restricted to progeny of stallions that had won over a minimum of 9½f. Of the last 22 winners ten were by offspring of stallions whose Sire Index was over 10f (the 2015 winning sire, Youmzain, is a high as 14.4f) and nine more winners’ Sire Index’s were over 9f, comfortably so in the vast majority of cases.
At a glance summary
- Had one start
- The favourite
- By stallions with a Sire Index of at least 10f
- Trained by Mark Johnston, Richard Hannon or John Gosden
- The favourite
- Outside of the first four in the betting
- By stallions with a Sire Index of under 9f