Royal Ascot - At The Races

17:35 Ascot 23 Jun 2017

Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) (Class 2) (3YO plus)

Winner £49,800 - 19 ran

6

1m 3f 211y

Good to Firm (Watered)

View Course Guide

Weighed In

Last year’s race

Kinema
  • Winner: Kinema
  • Jockey: F M Berry
  • Trainer: R M Beckett
  • Owner: The Ashes
  • Age: 5 Weight: 9st 4lb
  • Starting Price: 8/1
  • Season Form Figures: 1
  • Previous Best: 1st - Handicap race, Goodwood (May 2016)

Horses drawn wider in double-figure stalls have won all six runnings since the switch of stall numbers which is total contrast to the Wolferton Handicap over 2f shorter where the bend comes up much quicker and there is less time for jockeys to get organised, so don’t be put off arguments suggesting the higher-drawn horses are up against it over this 1m4f trip. In fact last season’s 1-2-3 were drawn 19, 13 and 15.

Last-time-out winners hold the call having been responsible for 50% of the last 22 winners which is an excellent return given they supply, on average, around 25% of the total runners. Given the handicap has become much more condensed of late, weight stats have started to become irrelevant in a race where it usually paid to oppose those towards the lower end of the handicap.

Horses drawn wider in double-figure stalls have won all six runnings since the switch of stall numbers.

It was a 1-2-3-4 for five-year-olds last year but just two horses older than five have been successful in the last 28 years and it is the four-year-olds that hold the edge over five-year-olds in terms of winners. In fact, four-year-olds supplied seven of the first eight places in 2015, the first eight horses home two years ago and six of the first seven in 2013, so the 5yo domination last year came as a surprise.

Arab Spring gave Sir Michael Stoute his sixth winner of this all-aged 1m4f handicap three years ago and he has also saddled three runners-up from his last 17 runners and the majority view was that his Kings Fete (close-up third) would have won last season but for being squeezed up. Mark Johnston has claimed this prize on three occasions including a 1-2 in 2009 and the 2014 runner-up so his is also a name very much to look out for. John Oxx’s two runners have produced a winner and a third, look twice should be bring over a contender.

Up until 2006, the Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes had been a punter’s handicap with 14 consecutive winners going the way of a contender from the front six in the betting but it has got tricky lately as four of the last 11 winners have started at 12/1+. However, the last two of the last favourites, Arab Spring and Arab Dawn (joint-favourite), justified that market support and last season’s favourite only found one too good. Especially note those hunting up the market leader, notably the second, third and fourth favourites that have won 13 of the last 23 runnings.

At a glance summary

Positives
Last-time-out winners
The second, third and fourth favourite
Four-year-olds
Trained by Sir Michael Stoute, Mark Johnston or John Oxx
Negatives
Aged six or older

Previous Winners
Year Going Ran Winner Draw Age Weight OR Form Last run Trainer (Distance) Jockey SP Time
2016 Good to Soft 19 Kinema 19 5 9 4 99 2322-01 27 days R Beckett (50 miles) F M Berry 8/1 2:32.59
2015 Good to Firm 17 Arab Dawn 21 4 9 2 96 15342-3 47 days H Morrison (32 miles) R Hughes 6/1 2:28.12
2014 Good to Firm 18 Arab Spring 12 4 9 10 104 2-111 36 days Sir M Stoute (88 miles) R L Moore 11/4 2:28.85
2013 Good to Firm 16 Opinion 10 4 9 0 95 51010-3 48 days Sir M Stoute (88 miles) R L Moore 8/1 2:31.30
2012 Good 18 Camborne 12 4 9 4 97 1-1061 14 days J Gosden (88 miles) W Buick 11/2 2:31.47
2011 Soft 16 Fox Hunt 21 4 9 8 99 221641 14 days M Johnston (243 miles) S De Sousa 12/1 2:40.03
2010 Good to Firm 19 Cill Rialaig 12 5 8 11 91 6167-42 14 days H Morrison (32 miles) S Drowne 16/1 2:29.64
2009 Good to Firm 17 Drill Sergeant 4 4 9 7 101 283332 14 days M Johnston (243 miles) J Fanning 14/1 2:29.70
2008 Good to Firm 19 Sugar Ray 14 4 9 0 95 3123-13 36 days Sir M Stoute (88 miles) R L Moore 8/1 2:32.95
2007 Good to Soft 19 Pevensey 2 5 8 10 90 5211F-0 38 days J Quinn G Gibbons 8/1 2:36.64