Royal Ascot - At The Races

15:05 Ascot 23 Jun 2017

King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO only)

Winner £127,598 - 12 ran

2

1m 3f 211y

Good to Firm (Watered)

View Course Guide

Weighed In

Last year’s race

Across The Stars
  • Winner: Across The Stars
  • Jockey: L Dettori
  • Trainer: Sir Michael Stoute
  • Owner: Mr Saeed Suhail
  • Age: 3 Weight: 9st 0lb
  • Starting Price: 7/1
  • Season Form Figures: 130
  • Previous Best: 3rd - Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race), Lingfield (May 2016)

The King Edward VII Stakes has been a punter-friendly race with 15 of the last 23 winners starting favourite or second favourite. Two of the last seven winners went on to win the Dubai World Cup (Monterosso) or King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Nathaniel) and the 2014 runner-up later won the Cox Plate (Adelaide) so the race often referred to as the Ascot Derby has been a big guide to the very biggest races on the planet in recent years. Also note that as many as ten of the last 23 subsequent St Leger winners have run with credit here so stamina genes counts for plenty.

Across The Stars was giving Sir Michael Stoute his sixth winner since 1991 last year adding to the successes of Papal Bull, Balakheri, Foyer, Saddlers Hall and Hillstar (should have been six as the subsequent dual Breeders’ Cup Turf winner, Conduit, was given too much to do). Also respect Saeed Bin Suroor and Mark Johnston who have won this race twice and John Gosden with three winners in the last 12 years.
 
The Irish, however, have only mustered one win in the last 42 years and that was in a very poor five-runner renewal. Aidan O’Brien has been responsible for losing favourites that started at no bigger than 6/5 in the three of the last four runnings, two of which ran big races in the Derby plus his At First Sight was also only fifth here as favourite in 2010 after finishing second in the Derby.

Of the last 21 winners, all but three were winning a Group race for the first time and, of the last 22 winners, only six had failed to visit the Winners' Enclosure earlier in the season.

With regards to the Derby as a guide, many punters will latch onto that form first but, coming so soon after what is always a tough race, contenders from the Epsom Classic usually fail to give their best. Cacoethes outclassed his rivals at odds of 8/13 when winning in 1989 having finished third in Nashwan’s Derby but the only other horse that had a hard race at Epsom to score subsequently was Storming Home (fifth in the Derby).

The 1994 winner, Foyer, also ran in the Derby but he unseated Willie Ryan at halfway so didn't have a race and Papal Bull and Across The Stars also didn’t have the guts ripped out of them both finishing tenth before winning here. All three were trained by Sir Michael Stoute who could run Crystal Ocean and Mirage Dancer who both bypassed Epsom. 

Of the last 21 winners, all but three were winning a Group race for the first time and, of the last 22 winners, only six had failed to visit the Winners' Enclosure earlier in the season. During the same period, 11 winners had contested a recognised Derby trial including nine of the last 16 - four of which in the Lingfield Derby Trial and two in the Chester Vase.

As with the Ribblesdale Stakes (the fillies' equivalent of this race at Royal Ascot), proven two-year-old form counts for little. In fact, the 2014 winner, Eagle Top, was given his racecourse debut just nine weeks earlier and the 2015 winner, Balios, ran only once as a two-year-old as late as November and just once beforehand in his three-year-old campaign. So this has proven to be very much a race for unexposed horses likely to show their true potential when sent over this trip for the first time and 19 of the last 21 winners had not previously won over 1m4f so the majority were unexposed at this trip.

At a glance summary

Positives
The favourite or second-favourite
Contested a recognised Derby Trial 
Yet to win over 1m4f+
Trained by Sir Michael Stoute, by Saeed Bin Suroor or Mark Johnston
Yet to win a Group race
Negatives
Ran well in the Derby
Yet to win this season
Irish-trained contenders

Previous Winners
Year Going Ran Winner Draw Age Weight OR Form Last run Trainer (Distance) Jockey SP Time
2016 Good to Soft 9 Across The Stars 4 3 9 0 - 22-130 13 days Sir M Stoute (88 miles) L Dettori 7/1 2:35.18
2015 Good to Firm 7 Balios 4 3 9 0 - 1-2 48 days D M Simcock (88 miles) J P Spencer 3/1 2:29.05
2014 Good to Firm 9 Eagle Top 5 3 9 0 - 14 55 days J Gosden (88 miles) W Buick 12/1 2:27.98
2013 Good to Firm 8 Hillstar 8 3 8 12 - 41-22 34 days Sir M Stoute (88 miles) R L Moore 15/2 2:30.09
2012 Soft 5 Thomas Chippendale 5 3 8 12 - 01-51 14 days Sir H Cecil (88 miles) Johnny Murtagh 9/2 2:35.41
2011 Good to Soft 10 Nathaniel 5 3 8 12 - 22-12 43 days J Gosden (88 miles) W Buick 11/4 2:34.48
2010 Good to Firm 8 Monterosso 2 3 8 12 - 211121 19 days M Johnston (243 miles) L Dettori 7/2 2:30.06
2009 Good to Firm 12 Father Time 11 3 8 12 - 1-332 27 days Sir H Cecil (88 miles) E Ahern 9/1 2:27.37
2008 Firm 9 Campanologist 2 3 8 12 - 410-113 41 days S bin Suroor (88 miles) L Dettori 9/1 2:31.24
2007 Good 9 Boscobel 3 3 8 12 - 1-1121 35 days M Johnston (243 miles) J Fanning 7/1 2:37.13