Royal Ascot - At The Races

14:30 Ascot 22 Jun 2017

Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)

Winner £56,710 - 17 ran

1

5f

Good to Firm (Watered)

View Course Guide

Weighed In

Last year’s race

Prince Of Lir
  • Winner: Prince Of Lir
  • Jockey: L Morris
  • Trainer: R M H Cowell
  • Owner: The Cool Silk Partnership
  • Age: 2 Weight: 9st 1lb
  • Starting Price: 8/1
  • Season Form Figures: 1
  • Previous Best: 1st - Two Year Old Trophy Conditions Stakes, Beverley (May 2016)

After the Coventry, the Norfolk Stakes is the best two-year-old race at Royal Ascot for punters to get really stuck into with eight of the last 14 runnings going the way of the favourite or second-favourite.

It would take an exceptional set of circumstances for trends followers to nail their mast to a horse beaten last time out. Just two Norfolk Stakes winners since 1991 had tasted defeat on their previous start so it is much the best idea to concentrate on such runners of which there will be many. Therefore, to cut the parameters further, I suggest looking to those yet to taste defeat as 15 of the last 23 winners had perfect records entering the race and seven of the last 11 winners arrived here with the profile of one run and one win, Prince Of Lir being the latest last season. All six winners since 1997 that had run more than twice were beaten first time out.

15 of the last 23 winners had perfect records entering the race and seven of the last 11 winners arrived here with the profile of one run and one win.

This 5f Group 3 contest is very much for precocious types (last year’s winner was retired at the end of his 2yo campaign) and, as such, very few winners have made a serious impact the following season. Of winners since 1997, just five had previously been tried at further than 5f but that does include two of the last three winners, Baitha Alga and Waterloo Bridge.

The recent Roll of Honour of winning sires is packed with sprinters so it is no surprise that 18 of the last 21 winners were by stallions with a Sire Index of no bigger than 8.3f with seven of those being the produce of stallions with a Sire Index of less than 7f as there aren't too many of them. Windsor form has also come to the fore in recent seasons with five of the last 15 winners either winning or finishing second at the riverside track.

Richard Hannon Jnr got off the mark three years ago with Baitha Alga and supplied the second and third in 2015. His father secured victories with Niche (1992), Lucky Lionel (1995) and Baron's Pit (2002) in addition to saddling two runners-up going back to 1994 so Team Hannon have to be very much respected. Peter Chapple-Hyam has won this race on three occasions and also respect Mark Johnston who has won the Norfolk Stakes with Russian Valour (2003) and also supplied three seconds, The Last Lion being the latest last season. Also note William Haggas who has saddled two winners.

At a glance summary

Positives
The favourite or second-favourite
By a stallion with a Sire Index of less than 7f
Undefeated
To have run over 5f in all starts
Trained by Richard Hannon, Mark Johnston, Peter Chapple-Hyam or William Haggas
Finished first or second at Windsor earlier in the season
Negatives
Beaten last time out
By a stallion with Sire Index of more than 8f

Previous Winners
Year Going Ran Winner Draw Age Weight OR Form Last run Trainer (Distance) Jockey SP Time
2016 Soft 11 Prince Of Lir 10 2 9 1 - 1 19 days R Cowell (88 miles) L Morris 8/1 1:01.17
2015 Good to Firm 10 Waterloo Bridge 8 2 9 1 - 6321 14 days A P O'Brien (399 miles) R L Moore 12/1 0:59.98
2014 Good to Firm 9 Baitha Alga 7 2 9 1 - 211 12 days R Hannon (52 miles) L Dettori 8/1 0:59.81
2013 Good to Firm 14 No Nay Never 8 2 9 1 - 1 55 days W A Ward J Rosario 4/1 0:58.80
2012 Good to Soft 11 Reckless Abandon 12 2 9 1 - 1 33 days C Cox (43 miles) A Kirby 4/1 1:01.41
2011 Good to Soft 15 Bapak Chinta 2 2 9 1 - 1 34 days K Ryan (240 miles) P Makin 6/1 1:03.03
2010 Good to Firm 12 Approve 2 2 9 1 - 314 12 days W Haggas (88 miles) E Ahern 16/1 1:00.14
2009 Good to Firm 11 Radiohead 6 2 9 1 - 21 31 days B Meehan (54 miles) J P Spencer 10/1 1:02.07
2008 Good to Firm 11 South Central 5 2 9 1 - 1 17 days J H Johnson (276 miles) R Winston 11/4 1:01.83
2007 Good 16 Winker Watson 16 2 9 1 - 1 62 days P Chapple-Hyam (88 miles) J Fortune 2/1 1:00.83
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