Royal Ascot - At The Races

Royal Ascot Speed Ratings

    Speed Ratings expert Lawrence Taylor napped 10-1 Ascot Stakes winner LagostoVegas on Tuesday, tipped up Hunting Horn (5-1) on Thursday and napped Main Edition (7-1) on Friday - exclusive ratings and analysis online for Saturday, the fifth day of Royal Ascot 2018.

Royal Ascot - Saturday

Ascot 2-30 Listed (Class 1) 7f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Natalie's Joy  104  104  --  --  --  --  --
 Cardini  78  66  78  --  --  --  --
 New Winds  78  54  43  78  --  --  --
 Azor Ahai  77  55  77  58  --  --  --
 Beyond Reason  72  (79)  72  --  --  --  --
 Aussie View  69  --  (71)  69  --  --  --
 Duke Of Hazzard  68  68  53  --  --  --  --
 Arthur Kitt  64  64  --  --  --  --  --
 Nate The Great  61  61  --  --  --  --  --
 San Donato  58  58  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Natalie's Joy 104 Beyond Reason 79 Duke Of Hazzard 68

NATALIE'S JOY (nb) rates well clear on the clock for this 11-runner Listed event, courtesy of her wide-margin victory in a six furlong maiden at Goodwood last month. Quickening up nicely at the business end on that occasion, the filly is clearly capable of going quicker, and if she does so under today's favourable conditions then she will take all the beating. A juvenile daughter of Lope de Vega, out of a mare by Zamindar, she is also bred to relish this stiff seven furlongs.

Ascot 3-05 Group 2 (Class 1) 12f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Idaho  128  118  117  --  --  --  128
 Red Verdon  116  116  64  (39)  (--)  (111)  (89)
 Rare Rhythm  115  115  --  --  --  --  --
 Crystal Ocean  113  68  113  --  --  --  --
 Cliffs Of Moher  108  99  64  97  --  108  --
 Barsanti  103  103  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Idaho 118 Red Verdon 116 Rare Rhythm 115

IDAHO was a fast ground winner of this race 12 months ago, and comes into this year's contest with a list-dominant speed rating of 128 to his name. The selection failed to show his best on soft ground at Epsom three weeks ago, but was a ready winner on faster terrain at Chester on his penultimate outing, so no surprise if he bounces back this afternoon, while his best odds of 6-1 compare favourably to the much shorter 4-7 about the lower scoring favourite Crystal Ocean.

Ascot 3-40 Listed (Class 1) 5f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Sabre  92  92  (52)  --  --  --  --
 Jungle Inthebungle  88  88  (70)  (42)  --  --  --
 Mutawaffer  88  88  68  --  --  --  --
 Queen Of Bermuda  87  87  73  60  --  --  --
 Chapelli  86  86  73  --  --  --  --
 Tin Hat  86  86  71  42  71  --  --
 Thegreatestshowman  86  64  35  86  --  --  --
 Isle Of Innisfree  85  85  --  --  --  --  --
 Dom Carlos  85  70  85  57  --  --  --
 Van Beethoven  84  84  57  64  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Sabre 92 Jungle Inthebungle 88 Mutawaffer 88

SABRE has a good chance of putting his rivals to the sword in this 28-runner Listed sprint, that's if he can build on his fast-time second to Vintage Brut at Sandown just over four weeks ago. The winner and third have disappointed since, granted, but the form doesn't look too bad through the fourth and fifth home on that occasion. Successful on debut at Newcastle in April, this twice raced son of Mayson looks sure to take another step forward this afternoon, and will need to if he is to overcome a bunch of potential big improvers.

Ascot 4-20 Group 1 (Class 1) 6f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Librisa Breeze  133  --  133  --  --  --  --
 Harry Angel  125  115  125  --  --  --  --
 The Tin Man  122  109  122  --  --  --  --
 Merchant Navy  120  120  --  --  --  --  --
 City Light  115  115  (117)  (--)  (--)  --  --
 Spirit Of Valor  114  114  79  --  --  --  --
 Projection  113  106  98  113  --  --  --
 Sir Dancealot  111  90  103  102  97  73  111
 D'bai  107  96  107  --  --  --  --
 Intelligence Cross  95  95  75  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Merchant Navy 120 Harry Angel 115 City Light 115

LIBRISA BREEZE failed to get competitive on his return at Meydan last month, and is better judged on the list-dominant speed rating of 133 he posted when landing a Group 1 sprint at Ascot last October. Harry Angel was back in fourth on that occasion, which tells us all we need to know about the value of the form. It's a tough call as to how the selection will get on this afternoon, but at his generally available odds of 12-1 we can at least spread the risk a little and back him each-way.

Ascot 5-00 Handicap (Class 2) 6f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Flying Pursuit  118  77  97  96  118  114  --
 Mr Lupton  114  114  107  108  107  --  --
 Major Jumbo  114  104  114  107  109  --  --
 George Bowen  113  113  108  94  97  59  81
 Spring Loaded  113  (105)  98  113  --  --  --
 Gunmetal  112  112  102  72  --  --  --
 Al Qahwa  111  89  111  100  106  --  --
 Victory Angel  111  111  97  --  --  --  --
 Tis Marvellous  111  111  --  --  --  --  --
 Ultimate Avenue  110  110  102  101  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Mr Lupton 114 George Bowen 113 Gunmetal 112

With top-rated Flying Pursuit yet to fire on all cylinders this season, the focus falls on MR LUPTON, whose victory in a five furlong Class 2 handicap at York last month translates into a premier LTO speed rating of 114. Several in behind that day have posted decent times since, which help to firm up the form no end, while a Class 2 win at Newmarket last May tells us that the selection can perform with credit over a galloping six furlongs on fast turf. Goes well in big fields too, but a predicted even pace could be something of a hindrance to a runner who likes to come from off the pace.

Ascot 5-35 Stakes (Class 2) 22f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Count Octave  111  111  62  (107)  --  --  --
 Glencadam Glory  107  107  96  (104)  --  --  --
 Fun Mac  98  98  68  77  --  --  --
 Light Pillar  94  94  (75)  --  --  --  --
 Guard of Honour  87  60  87  --  --  --  --
 Fort Jefferson  81  --  81  42  79  --  --
 Uber Cool  81  81  --  --  (51)  --  --
 Le Maitre Chat  77  77  --  --  --  --  --
 Nearly Caught  76  --  76  68  --  --  --
 Renneti  55  55  11  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Count Octave 111 Glencadam Glory 107 Fun Mac 98

COUNT OCTAVE (nap) was just denied by Stradivarius in the Group 2 Queens Vase at Royal Ascot last year, when the ground was riding on the fast side of good, so has his conditions again today. Top on the clock with a last time out speed rating of 111, and with an extended pedigree that is packed with stamina influences, this 4yo son of Frankel must have every chance of landing this marathon contest, even more so as it lacks a little strength in depth. Chalked up at 7-1 with Ladbrokes at the time of writing (BetFred go 13-2) he is also being offered up at something like a value price.