Updated 9:37, 10:11 - all selections online
TOTALLY MAGIC is on a bit of a losing run, but the handicapper has given her a real chance in the first division of the 1m event at Newcastle (8.00).
She is on a losing run of 18, but her last two wins both came over this course and distance, and she’s always been a bit better on an artificial surface than turf, unsurprisingly as her dam’s three career wins all came on synthetics.
She has been running creditably on turf and has been dropped a further 4lb since her last run, and this looks a weaker race than when she was 4th off a 6lb higher mark on her last all-weather run here in July.
MANKIND ran creditably in what looked a strong race for the grade at Kempton last time, hasn’t been with Archie Watson for long, and looks worth another try over 1m2f, so he might go well at Newcastle this evening (6.00).
He was only fourth at Newcastle, but the first two looked ahead of their marks and Mankind was four lengths clear of the fifth horse home.
It’s encouraging that was his best effort yet in three starts for his current yard, because he changed hands in mid-July, and there might be a little more improvement to come.
He isn’t guaranteed to appreciate the step up in trip, but looks worth a try at it, and with his latest effort reading quite well on the clock he’s entitled to go close if in the same form here.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win MANKIND (10-1 & 9-1 general)
1pt win TOTALLY MAGIC (15-2 Ladbrokes, 7-1 Coral, 13-2 Betfair Sportsbook, Betfred, Coral, 6-1 bet365, William Hill)
Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing).
Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts