Updated 9.10 - all selections online.
SEVENTII has travelled with purpose on each of her last two starts and shaped better than the bare result last time at Chelmsford, so although she would probably prefer softer going, she might still be worth chancing in the 1m6f handicap at Redcar today (6.00).
She was trying to make ground up the far rail when stopped in her run at Chelmsford, ending any chance she had of making the frame. That was a very weak race outside the in-form winner, but it’s still encouraging that she shaped well given she had run poorly on her only other all-weather start (also at Chelmsford).
She had travelled as sweet as anything on her previous start at Nottingham, just not able to pick up as well as those that beat her. It’s possible that she might need soft ground to show her best, but it’s also possible that she needed the run at Nottingham after an absence of nearly three months.
Her stable is on a fairly long losing run, but I tend to take less notice of that when the horse concerned has run well recently, and all in all she might be worth a small bet.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win SEVENTII (15-2 Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power, 7-1 bet365, William Hill, 13-2 Ladbrokes)
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Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts